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  • Archive for January, 2010

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.28

    The Dow Jones industrial average rose 41.87 points, to end at 10,236.16. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 5.33 points, to 1,097.50. The Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 17.68 points, to 2,221.41. The Nikkei climbed 162.21 points to 10,414.29 after earlier rising to 10,462.70. The Topix rose 0.7% to 914.32.

    Yesterday, the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates at zero signaling that the economic recovery was gathering strength. Yesterday, Greek government bonds were crushed after the finance ministry denied a report that suggested it had hired Goldman Sachs to promote the sale of more than £20bn worth of Greek bonds to the Chinese.

    Due for release today is the USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, USD Unemployment Claims, USD Fed Chairman Nomination Vote and NZD Building Consents m/m.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.27

    The FTSeurofirst 300 closed 0.4 percent higher at 1,022.99 points. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 2.57 points, to 10,194.29. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 4.61 points, to 1,092.17. The Nasdaq Composite Index dived 7.07 points, to 2,203.73. The benchmark Nikkei lost 73.20 points to 10,252.08, its lowest close since Dec. 21. The Topix fell 1% to 907.67.

    Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund increased its global growth expectations for 2010 and warned that a removal of stimulus packages was the biggest risk for western economies. Yesterday, analysts at the Congressional Budget Office announced that the US budget deficit for this fiscal year has been revised lower to $1.3 trillion (£806bn) in comparison to an earlier estimate of $1.4 trillion posted in 2009. Yesterday, Greece said that in February it will sell more bonds, after its first debt issue of the year was heavily oversubscribed.

    Due for release today is the GBP CBI Realized Sales, USD New Home Sales, USD FOMC Statement, USD Federal Funds Rate, NZD Official Cash Rate and NZD RBNZ Rate Statement.

    By Greg Secker

    Global Market Update blog


    2010 - 01.26

    The Dow Jones industrial average rose 23.88 points, to 10,196.86. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 5.02 points, to 1,096.78. The Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 5.51 points, to 2,210.80. On Tuesday, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei fell 1.8% to a five-week closing low.

    Yesterday, growth of Euro zone industrial new orders in November was revised up to 2.7% month-on-month. On Friday, Germany said that the country’s orders rose 2.8% month-on-month, the increase was mainly due to a correction in the volume of investment goods ordered from outside the euro zone. Yesterday, Greece regained market confidence as a large premium on the first Greek bond issue of the year led to strong demand. Demand for the bond rose to more than three times the initial offered size. Yesterday, sales of previously owned US homes fell at the fastest pace on record as the boost from the tax credit faded.

    Due for release today is the JPY BOJ Press Conference, EUR German Ifo Business Climate, GBP Prelim GDP q/q, GBP BOE Gov King Speaks, USD CB Consumer Confidence.

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.25

    The Dow Jones industrial slipped 216.90 points, to 10,172.98. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 24.72 points, to 1,091.76. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 60.41 points, to 2,205.29.The Nikkei slipped 0.7 percent to 10,512.69. The Topx dropped 0.7 percent to 934.59.

    Yesterday, the Icelandic media reported that Iceland is approaching governments regarding the possibility of mediating talks over the $5bn its owes to Britain and the Netherlands.Tomorrow, the BoJ will meet it is widely expected to leave rates unchanged and also to leave their lending programs as they are.

    Due for release today is the AUD PPI q/q and the USD Existing Home Sales.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.22

    The FTSEurofirst 300 index of shares fell 1.6 percent to 1,036.07 points. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 213.27 points, to end at 10,389.88. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell  21.56 points, at 1,116.48. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 25.55 points, to 2,265.70. The Nikkei 225 dropped 277.86 points to 10,590.55. The Topix fell 1.6 % to 940.94.

    According to the World Gold Council, in 2009 Gold appreciated by 25 per cent price this was driven by investors running to take cover from the prospect of rising inflation. According to figures, hedge funds had their greatest performance in a decade and their best rebound since records began. Analyst expectations were outpaced by the rate of recovery. In 2009 83 % of all funds posted positive performance, recouping losses that were incurred in 2008.

    Due for release is the GBP Retail Sales and the CAD Core Retail Sales m/m.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.21

    The FTSEurofirst 300 index finished lower by 1.5% at 1,052.53 points. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 122.28 points, ending at 10,603.15. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 12.19 points, to close at 1,138.04. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 29.15 points, to close at 2,291.25. The Nikkei gained 130.89 points to 10,868.41. The Topix also climbed 1.2 percent to 956.03.

    Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) MD Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the Eurozone would get through the turmoil caused by Greece’s debt crisis without falling apart. In the US on the economic front, housing starts fell 4% to a 557,000 unit annual rate in December. Economists expected a drop to around 572,000. Elsewhere, building permits beat forecasts and rose to a 653,000 unit annual rate last month from a 589,000 figure in November. In December the Producer Price Index increased by 0.2% after rising 1.8% in the previous month.
    Due for release today is the CNY GDP q/y, CNY CPI y/y, USD Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index m/m and the CAD BOC Press Conference.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.20

    The FTSEurofirst 300 closed 0.8 percent higher at 1,069.03 points.  The Dow Jones industrial average surged 115.78 points, to end at 10,725.43. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose up 14.20 points, to 1,150.23. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 32.41 points, to 2,320.40. The benchmark Nikkei fell 27.38 points to 10,737.52. The Topix dropped 0.5 percent to 944.72.

    Yesterday, an industry trade group reported, that home foreclosures and concerns over a poor job market added to the depressed confidence of US house builders in early January. In December, the home builders’ sentiment index declined to 15. Construction output in Europe fell to its lowest level for a decade and investor confidence in Germany was weaker than expected, confirming that the Eurozone’s economy still remains at risk.

    Due for release today is the GBP MPC Meeting Minutes, GBP Average Earnings Index, CAD Core CPI m/m, USD Building Permits, PPI m/m and NZD Retail Sales m/m.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.19

    On Monday, European shares rose in early trade. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares rose 0.6 percent at 1,058.15 points. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 100.90 points, to 10,609.65. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 12.43 points, to 1,136.03. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 28.75 points, to 2,287.99.The Nikkei fell 90.18 points to 10,764.90. The TOPX dropped 0.8 percent to 949.76. 

    Yesterday the Eurostat’s director-general said that the head of the Europe’s statistics agency has had “sleepless nights” over Greek economic data and also that statistics for the debt and budget deficits in 2007 and 2008 are still not reliable.  Yesterday, Britain tripled its aid commitment to Haiti to £20m as rescue teams struggled to help survivors of last week’s earthquake. According to the latest survey from Lloyds TSB Corporate Markets. At the end of 2009 Business confidence fell to its lowest level in eight month,

    Due for release today is the GBP CPI y/y, EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment, GBP BOE Inflation Letter, CAD BOC Rate Statement, CAD Overnight Rate, TIC Long-Term Purchases, BOE Gove King Speaks and NZD CPI q/q.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.18

    The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 100.90 points, to 10,609.65. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 12.43 points, to 1,136.03. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 28.75 points, to 2,287.99. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top shares closed down 1.1 percent at 1,052.24 points.  The Nikkei fell 127.02 points to 10,855.08. The Topix fell 0.9 percent to 957.55.

    Tomorrow, Greek officials are being summoned to Brussels to face a questioning from the European Union over “unreliable” national statistics. According to research from real estate consultancy CB Richard Ellis, in the fourth quarter of last year, European commercial property investment rose to its highest level since the start of the financial crisis.

    By Greg Secker

    Morning Call by Greg Secker


    2010 - 01.15

    The FTSEurofirst 300 index was down 0.2 percent at 1,061.93 points. On Friday, U.S. stock index futures trimmed losses. The Nikkei rose 0.7 percent or 74.42 points to 10,982.10. The Topix gained 0.8 percent to 966.40.

    Yesterday, a leading US watchdog stated that regulators failed to protect the American public from the global financial crisis. Sheila Bair (the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chairwoman) told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission that regulators acted too slowly to stop the problems with sub-prime mortgage crisis. Despite a weak performance in December, US retail sales are now starting to show improvements. Yesterday, fresh data showed sales for last month falling 0.3 %, but this was compared to an upwardly-revised 1.8 % in November.

    Due for release today is the USD Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, USD Industrial Production m/m.

    By Greg Secker